Archive - Incidence Notes

Russia Gasoline Shortage Dashboard and Scenario Lab

version 2.0 (updated as of 20 Sep 2026)

Sep 21 • Incidence Notes

Incidence 2.0 of Limits of Russian endurance in war

Version 2.0 of the panel is out today in English, Ukrainian and Russian, with a new gold widget, three widgets run again on 12 September once the OFZ…

Sep 21 • Incidence Notes

August 2026

Anti-drone protection is now the owner’s problem in Russia

A state that cannot defend its own main naval base has made owners liable for defending their plants. What decree No. 604 concedes by enforcing it.

Aug 26 • Incidence Notes

The Russian bond market is closed because the issuer refused the price

Not that the money could not be raised, but that the price was declined. What that signals, what it does not, and a check date of 31 October.

Aug 26 • Incidence Notes

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